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CKGSB Professors’ Insights on the Two Sessions: Key Strategies for 2025

March 12, 2025 | School News

On March 5, 2025, the Third Session of the 14th National People’s Congress officially opened, with Premier Li Qiang delivering the Government Work Report, outlining China’s macroeconomic goals and key policy priorities for 2025. This year marks a critical turning point for China’s economic and policy direction.

In response to these developments, our CKGSB professors shared their expert insights with leading media outlets, including Xinhua Finance, Caijing Magazine, and China News Service, providing in-depth analysis of the core themes from the Two Sessions. This article compiles their key perspectives, offering a deeper understanding of the policy landscape surrounding GDP growth, monetary policy, capital market reforms, consumption recovery, and the rise of unicorn enterprises in 2025.

Part 1: GDP Growth Target: Achieving 5% in 2025

"The 5% economic growth target is essential for stabilizing employment, managing risks, and improving livelihoods. This target aligns with China’s long-term development goals, signaling resilience and ambition in the face of global challenges." — 2025 Government Work Report

LIU Jing, Professor of Accounting and Finance and Director of Investment Research Center, CKGSB, notes that the 5% GDP growth target, inflation goals, and employment projections set in the Government Work Report align closely with market expectations. However, achieving this growth amid global economic headwinds will require strong policy coordination and structural reforms. To ensure sustainable economic growth, Professor Liu highlights four key strategies:

  • Boosting Domestic Consumption: Transitioning from an investment-led growth model to a consumer-driven economy by increasing household incomes and expanding domestic demand.
  • Strengthening Private Enterprises: Encouraging private-sector innovation and job creation through supportive policies to stimulate economic momentum.
  • Restoring Market Confidence: Stabilizing asset prices, particularly in real estate, through coordinated monetary and fiscal policies to rebuild consumer and business confidence.
  • Accelerating Technological Innovation: Fostering breakthrough technologies and industrial upgrades to enhance China’s global competitiveness and drive new economic growth drivers.

Professor Liu emphasizes that China’s strong policy toolkit and market potential will be key to navigating challenges and achieving high-quality growth in 2025.

Part 2: Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Expansionary Measures

"We will implement a moderately expansionary monetary policy, utilizing both broad-based and targeted monetary tools. Interest rate and reserve ratio adjustments will ensure sufficient liquidity, aligning financing growth with economic and price stability targets." — 2025 Government Work Report

ZHOU Chunsheng, Professor of Finance, Associate Dean for Executive Education Programs, Executive Academic Director for Executive MBA Program and Chairman of CKGSB, identifies a clear shift in monetary policy toward proactive countercyclical adjustments to stabilize economic growth. With geopolitical uncertainty, weak global trade, and sluggish domestic demand, China is expected to deploy innovative monetary tools to enhance macroeconomic stability. The key aspects of this policy transition include:

  • Stronger fiscal-monetary coordination to support economic recovery and stimulate investment.
  • Easing credit constraints for private enterprises, particularly SMEs, through lower interest rates and targeted lending programs.
  • Enhancing consumer credit accessibility to encourage spending on durable goods and services.
  • Adapting financial strategies to a low-inflation environment, encouraging long-term investment in equities and other assets.

Professor Zhou believes that China’s evolving policy mix will help restore business confidence and drive sustainable growth, while supporting employment and household income expansion.

Part 3: Capital Markets: Encouraging Long-Term Investment

"We will deepen capital market reforms to enhance long-term capital inflows, strengthen strategic market reserves, and refine stabilization mechanisms. The stock issuance and M&A systems will be optimized to improve financing efficiency." — 2025 Government Work Report

LI Wei, Professor of Economics, Associate Dean for Asia and Oceania, Director of Case Center and Director of Big Data Economic Research Center, CKGSB, highlights the importance of attracting long-term investment into China’s capital markets. He argues that while increased institutional investment will provide market stability, investor protection remains a key priority. To maximize the impact of long-term capital in equity markets, he suggests:

  • Enhancing transparency in corporate disclosures to improve investor confidence.
  • Developing robust mechanisms to curb market manipulation and protect minority investors.
  • Encouraging class-action lawsuits to reinforce market discipline.
  • Fostering institutional investor engagement with listed companies to promote sustainable corporate governance.

As China maintains the highest savings rate among major economies, Professor Li emphasizes that a well-regulated capital market will unlock greater investment opportunities, ultimately supporting economic transformation and innovation.

Part 4: Boosting Domestic Consumption: The Engine of Growth

"We will launch a national consumption stimulus initiative, introducing measures to enhance purchasing power, increase high-quality supply, and optimize the consumer environment." — 2025 Government Work Report

Professor Zhou Chunsheng stresses that consumption is the ultimate driver of economic growth. While investment fuels capacity expansion, the end goal remains strong consumer demand. To stimulate consumption, he suggests:

  • Expanding consumer credit accessibility to encourage spending in key sectors.
  • Strengthening social security and employment support to boost household confidence.
  • Stabilizing housing markets to mitigate the wealth effect that impacts consumer sentiment.
  • Encouraging technology-driven consumption models to unlock new growth opportunities.

Additionally, Professor Li Wei adds that capital market development will further support consumption by unlocking new wealth effects and improving resource allocation efficiency.

Meanwhile, Professor Liu Jing highlights five structural priorities to enhance consumption:

  1. Increasing household income share in national GDP to strengthen purchasing power.
  2. Supporting private sector job creation to improve employment security.
  3. Stabilizing housing markets to prevent excessive financial burdens.
  4. Leveraging technological innovation to create new consumer markets.
  5. Enhancing investment efficiency to sustain long-term economic expansion.

 

Part 5: Unicorn Enterprises: The Future of Innovation

"We will foster a multi-tiered innovation ecosystem, supporting specialized SMEs, high-growth unicorns, and emerging industry leaders to accelerate technological breakthroughs." — 2025 Government Work Report

TENG Bingsheng, Professor of Strategic Management and Associate Dean for Strategic Research, CKGSB, identifies three major trends in China’s unicorn ecosystem:

  • Accelerated technological innovation as a key competitive advantage.
  • Proactive global expansion strategies among China’s unicorns.
  • Diversification into new business sectors to enhance resilience.

China’s deepening focus on AI and semiconductor innovation reflects a strategic shift from business model innovation to core technology breakthroughs. Professor Teng emphasizes that China’s unicorns are increasingly investing in long-term R&D and sustainable business models, positioning themselves as global industry leaders. He underscores the importance of patient capital, noting that both investors and businesses must adopt long-term strategies to ensure sustained growth and market competitiveness.

About Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business

Established in Beijing in November 2002, Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business (CKGSB) is China’s first privately-funded and research-driven business school. The school aims to cultivate transformative business leaders with a global vision, sense of social responsibility, innovative mindset, and ability to lead with empathy and compassion (https://english.ckgsb.edu.cn).

This article was original published by CKGSB in Chinese: https://mp.weixin.qq.com/s/qxkwJJZG8CXFGweVNxnIWQ

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