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CKGSB’s 3rd China Economic Symposium

2016-11-30 · Beijing

CKGSB’s 3rd China Economic Symposium
2017 Outlook: What Surprises Are in Store for China?



Despite concerns over China’s slowing growth rate, China’s economy is still the world’s largest in terms of purchasing power, a fact that many overlook. No matter what rate the country grows at this year and next, China’s share of the global economy, and of many specific sectors, will be larger than ever. However, there is no doubt that China’s economy is, and will continue to be, increasingly diverse and volatile. So what are we to expect from this multi-dimensional economy?


At this event, CKGSB Professor Gan Jie’s China Industrial Economy Report and Professor Li Wei’s Business Confidence Index (BCI) will present some surprising findings about the Chinese economy. Together with a number of influential economists, China experts and practitioners, they will shed light on how the economy and businesses are coping and what types of reforms are needed. Finally, they will reveal the prospects and expected trends of China’s economic landscape in 2017.


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  • Time: 14:00-17:30, Wednesday November 30, 2016
  • Venue: CKGSB Beijing Campus, Oriental Plaza Tower E3 12F, 1 Chang An Road, Beijing
  • Language: English and Chinese (simultaneous interpretation)
13:30-14:00 Registration
14:00-14:10 Welcome Remarks
ZHOU Li, Assistant Dean, CKGSB
14:10-14:30 Presentation: Past, Present and Future of China’s Industrial Economy
GAN Jie, Professor of Finance, Director of Center on Finance and Economic Growth, CKGSB 
14:30-15:15 Dialogue: Past, Present and Future of China’s Industrial Economy
GAN Jie, Professor of Finance, Director of Center on Finance and Economic Growth, CKGSB 
Raphael LAM, Resident Representative, IMF Resident Representative Office in China 
Shirley CHEN, Managing Director, CICC 

Tom MACKENZIE, China Correspondent, Bloomberg TV 
15:15-15:30 Coffee Break
15:30-15:50 Presentation: Pitfalls and Opportunities under the New Normal
LI Wei, Professor of Economics, Director of the Case Center, CKGSB 
15:50-16:35 Dialogue: Pitfalls and Opportunities under the New Normal
LI Wei, Professor of Economics, Director of the Case Center, CKGSB 
Andrew POLK, China Economist, Medley Global Advisors 
GAO Zhanjun, Managing Director, CITIC Securities 

HE Gang, Managing Editor, Caijing Magazine 
16:35-17:25 In Conversation with XU Chenggang: Can China Realize Its Dreams?
XU Chenggang, Professor of Economics, CKGSB 

Tom RAFFERTY, Regional Manager for China, The Economist Intelligence Unit
17:25-17:30 Closing Remarks
ZHOU Li, Assistant Dean, CKGSB
17:30-18:00 Networking




GAN Jie (甘洁)

Professor of Finance, Director of Center on Finance and Economic Growth, CKGSB


Prof Gan Jie received her PhD from MIT. Prior to joining CKGSB, she served as a professor (with tenure) at Hong Kong University of Science and Technology and an assistant professor at Columbia Business School. Professor Gan has published extensively on banking and finance issues in top academic journals.


Currently she conducts large-sample survey of industrial firms every quarter. The resulting Business Sentiment Index (BSI) and the unique insights generated from the survey have received worldwide attention.


LI Wei (李伟)

Professor of Economics and Director of the Case Center, CKGSB


Dr Li Wei is a professor of economics and Director of the Case Center at CKGSB. He formerly served as a professor at the Darden Graduate School of Business, University of Virginia.


Previously, he was a research associate at the University of Michigan's Institute for Social Studies and taught at Duke University's Fuqua School of Business.


Dr Li's research has been published in the Journal of Political Economy, American Economic Review, Rand Journal of Economics, Journal of Law and Economics, Journal of Public Economics, and the Journal of Comparative Economics.


He wrote the book Investing in Emerging Markets, published by the CFA Institute (formerly the Association for Investment Management and Research). His research insights have been featured in Foreign Affairs, The New York Times, The Los Angeles Times and CNN.


XU Chenggang (许成钢)

Professor of Economics, CKGSB


Xu Chenggang is Professor of Economics at Cheung Kong Graduate School of Business. He is also a board member of the Ronald Coase Institute and a research fellow of the CEPR.


After receiving his PhD in Economics from Harvard in 1991), he taught at the London School of Economics (1991-2009) as a Reader; at University of Hong Kong (2009-2016) as Chung Hon-Dak Professor in Economic Development and as Quoin Professor in Economic Development; Special-Term Visiting Professor at Tsinghua (2002-); taught/worked at Harvard (1992-2002), the IMF (1997-1999) and the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (1982-1992).


Dr Xu was the President of the Asian Law and Economics Association (2010-2012) and World-Class University Professor at Seoul National University (2009-2013). He also won the Sun Yefang Economics Prize in 2013. He has served as co-editor for 3 major international and national journals in economics, finance and law-and-economics and as a member of editorial boards for more than a dozen major international and Chinese journals in economics, finance and law-and-economics.


He has dozens of publications in major journals, such as JEL, JPE, AER, RES, EER, etc.; chapters in more than a dozen books, and has published a book. He delivered invited speeches or keynotes at Econometric Society’s World Congress, International Economic Association (IEA) World Congress, IEA Round Tables, AEA Meetings, EEA Meetings, China Economic Annual Conference, Hong Kong Economic Association Biennial Conference, and CEI (Central European Initiative) Summit Economic Forum etc. He has been invited to provide policy advises by the Chinese State Council, Peoples Bank of China, the CASS, the UNDP, the EBRD, and the UK HM Treasury. He has served as consultants for the World Bank and the IMF. He has involved in Chinese reform debates since the 1980s.





Raphael LAM

Resident Representative, IMF Resident Representative Office in China


Waikei Raphael Lam joined the Beijing office of the IMF as a Resident Representative. Before moving to Beijing, he has worked in the headquarter China team. He has also worked in the European Department, Finance Department, and the Asia Pacific Department, including participating in the IMF’s lending program to Iceland during the global financial crisis, Japan’s Financial Sector Assessment Program, and involving in the IMF regional surveillance in Asia. He has written research papers on a wide range of issues on China, including real estate, labor market, and government finances. His previous research also covered Japan’s monetary policy and financial sector issues, as well as regional financial integration in Asia. Mr. Lam has a Ph.D in Economics from University of California, Los Angeles. He also has working experience at the Hong Kong Monetary Authority and Hong Kong Institute of Monetary Research.


Shirley Chen

Managing Director, CICC 


Shirley Chen is Managing Director at China International Capital Corporation Limited (“CICC”). She has over 20 years’ experience in investment and investment banking. At the end of 2006, Ms Chen began developing CICC’s private equity business which now has over USD 15 billion under management, including fund of fund, VC funds, growth capital funds, M&A funds, and real estate funds. In 2016, Ms Chen and her team have won the prestigious contract to be the manager of RMB 40 billion Chinese central government sponsored emerging industries guidance fund (fund of funds).


Ms Chen joined CICC in 2003. She was Managing Director of the Investment Banking Department. Prior to joining CICC, she was Director at Credit Suisse First Boston and had worked in its Investment Banking Division in New York and Hong Kong for eight years.


Ms Chen holds an MBA degree from Yale University’s School of Management and a Bachelor of Laws degree in International Law and a Master of Laws degree in International Investment Law from Wuhan University, China.


GAO Zhanjun

Managing Director, CITIC Securities


Mr. Gao is Managing Director at CITIC Securities Co., Ltd. Mr. Gao received his PhD Degree in Economics and Postdoctoral Degree in Finance from Chinese Academy of Social Sciences.


Since joining CITIC Securities in 1997, Mr. Gao has held senior positions in the Investment Banking Division, the Capital Markets Department and the Fixed Income Department. Mr. Gao has extensive experience in providing financing services for large enterprises and financial institutions, including debt/equity origination and fixed income products sales, and also is well experienced in capital management. Mr. Gao has in-depth knowledge in macroeconomics, monetary and fiscal policy, capital markets, market participants behaviors and all kinds of financial products and derivatives.


Andrew POLK

China Economist, Medley Global Advisors

Andrew Polk was the senior economist at The Conference Board China Center for Economics and Business in Beijing prior to joining MGA. Previously, Andrew worked at the Institute of International Finance, where he conducted macroeconomic analysis on emerging markets in the Asia/Pacific region. His research focus has included monetary policy, capital flows, and financial market development throughout East and Southeast Asia, with a particular emphasis on China. He has also conducted growth and inflation forecasting and country risk analysis for the region.


Andrew has held research positions at the East Asia Desk of the US Treasury Department, the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars, and Foreign Policy magazine. He earned his BA in American studies and communication at Texas A&M University and holds an MA with distinction in economics and China studies from the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies.





Tom Mackenzie

China Correspondent, Bloomberg TV 


Tom Mackenzie has been Bloomberg TV's China Correspondent since March 2016. In that time he has covered the G20, the US-China Strategic Dialogue, EU-China Summit, the Beijing Auto Show, the opening of Shanghai Disney and, most recently, Philippine President Duterte's state visit. He has interviewed, amongst others, World Bank President Jim Yong Kim, EU Commissioner Pierre Moscovici, Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan and Disney CEO Bob Iger.

Tom Mackenzie

Tom was previously a TV reporter at Bloomberg's EMEA headquarters in London, covering stories ranging from the Greek financial crisis to the Turkish presidential elections. From 2010 to 2014 Tom was a show producer and reporter at CNBC in London. Between 2006 to 2010 he worked as a freelance journalist based in Beijing, writing for publications including the Economist Intelligence Unit, The Sunday Times, The Guardian and the South China Morning Post. Tom is a University of Warwick graduate.


HE Gang

Managing Editor, Caijing Magazine


He Gang received his BA in International Politics from Renmin University of China. He also has an MA in Journalism from the Graduate School of the Social Science Academy of China and an MBA from Cranfield School of Management in the UK.


Prior to his current roles as Managing Editor of Caijing Magazine and Editor-in-Chief of Harvard Business Review (Chinese Edition), he has served as a News Editor at People's Daily, Comment Editor at Financial Daily, Editor-in-Chief at International Finance News, Comment Editor and Member of Editorials at People's Daily and Managing Editor-in-Chief at Investor Journal. He joined Caijing Magazine in 2009 and since March 2012 has also been Editor-in-Chief of Harvard Business Review (Chinese Edition).



Regional Manager for China, The Economist Intelligence Unit


Tom is The Economist Intelligence Unit’s lead analyst for China and manages a team of researchers in Beijing. He is responsible for the EIU’s daily analysis of political, economic and social developments in China, evaluating their significance for clients, and devises the forecasts that underpin the EIU’s flagship reports for the country. Tom also manages the EIU's Access China service, which offers unrivalled analytical coverage of China’s provinces and cities. He is a frequent commentator in the international media and gives regular presentations to clients, as well as at external conferences and seminars. 


Tom joined the EIU in 2011, initially in London, and has a history of engagement in China-related research and analysis. He has been a researcher in the UK Parliament, where he worked on the UK-China bilateral relationship, and has held roles with the China-Britain Business Council, Oxford Analytica and the Foreign Policy Centre. Tom relocated to Beijing with the EIU in 2014. It is the second time he has lived in the city, having previously studied Chinese at Peking University and held a research fellowship at its Institute of International and Strategic Studies. 


Tom holds an MPhil in International Relations and a BA in Modern History, both from the University of Oxford. He has published on various subjects in relation to China, both inside and outside the EIU, including on leadership politics, the property sector and business opportunities in regional cities.


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